Manuel Chevalier, PhD

Palaeoclimatologist interested in the quantification of past climates, my work is focused on developing statistical techniques that quantify and integrate the major sources of uncertainties of proxy records (e.g. temporal, climatic or spatial) to derive more representative palaeorecords. The statistical framework that I have developed (see section CREST) illustrates this aspect of my work. Exploiting the flexibility of Bayesian statistics, the CREST method bears the promise to unlock the palaeoclimatic potential of the many key regions of the climate system where the application of the existing quantitative methods has been limited - when not impossible (e.g. drylands) - until now.